Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.101375 0.119098 0.138904 0.162669 0.190398 0.221724 0.259795
2025-12-07 0.074801 0.097470 0.125432 0.162411 0.209997 0.269140 0.348224
2025-12-14 0.057593 0.081375 0.113055 0.158246 0.220971 0.304888 0.425647
2025-12-21 0.047203 0.071330 0.105581 0.157593 0.234433 0.343634 0.510521
2025-12-28 0.041316 0.066168 0.103441 0.163172 0.256270 0.395600 0.619767
2026-01-04 0.036926 0.062290 0.102243 0.169418 0.279223 0.451274 0.740986
2026-01-11 0.032947 0.058289 0.100040 0.173384 0.298595 0.503152 0.862152
2026-01-18 0.029081 0.053785 0.096225 0.173885 0.311916 0.546315 0.973745
2026-01-25 0.024930 0.048096 0.089502 0.168255 0.313669 0.569789 1.053994
2026-02-01 0.021234 0.042646 0.082387 0.160801 0.310916 0.584613 1.120012
2026-02-08 0.018671 0.038947 0.077945 0.157598 0.315356 0.612473 1.212587
2026-02-15 0.016363 0.035400 0.073286 0.153278 0.316942 0.634892 1.297007
2026-02-22 0.014931 0.033576 0.072045 0.156165 0.334289 0.691823 1.460709
2026-03-01 0.013342 0.031187 0.069361 0.155811 0.345245 0.738060 1.610292
2026-03-08 0.011667 0.028328 0.065252 0.151788 0.347864 0.767570 1.729037
2026-03-15 0.010481 0.026388 0.062854 0.151157 0.357713 0.813401 1.888681
2026-03-22 0.009846 0.025655 0.063072 0.156512 0.381737 0.892913 2.133155
2026-03-29 0.009308 0.025070 0.063541 0.162507 0.408039 0.980702 2.407730
2026-04-05 0.008692 0.024181 0.063141 0.166315 0.429597 1.060191 2.672972
2026-04-12 0.007963 0.022875 0.061512 0.166796 0.443001 1.122037 2.903586
2026-04-19 0.007039 0.020878 0.057817 0.161391 0.440729 1.145572 3.042451
2026-04-26 0.006152 0.018836 0.053696 0.154235 0.432873 1.154178 3.144483
2026-05-03 0.005535 0.017469 0.051204 0.151160 0.435492 1.189763 3.321287